Upper Deck SP Authentic: What Future Watch and the Old Rookies Sell For
Published by the HobbyCardIndex Editorial Team. Prices are 10,531 recorded single-card sales of Upper Deck SP Authentic cards from July 1 to October 9, 2026, about $2.0 million in total. Product details for the 2025-26 hockey set come from a published set review, linked below.
Quick answer
Most Upper Deck SP Authentic cards sell for under $10, with a median near $8 across 10,531 recorded sales since July 1. Hockey is 62% of the sales but only 18% of the dollars. The 2000 Tom Brady rookie leads, at $120,000 in PSA 10. A 2025-26 Future Watch auto /999 medians about $28 raw.
Two links before the numbers. If you just pulled a Future Watch auto and you're wondering whether a slab helps, the should I grade this card checklist runs one card at a time. And if you're comparing our comps with what another site shows, the Card Ladder alternatives rundown lays out what each tool actually holds.
SP Authentic is kind of two brands sharing a name. For about fifteen years it was Upper Deck's mid-high release in every major sport, and it's the set behind the Brady, the LeBron and the Tiger rookies. Today it's a hockey set, plus the odd golf release, and the card everybody chases is the Future Watch rookie autograph. The old side is a handful of huge sales. The new side is thousands of small ones. We priced both, and the split between them is probably the most useful thing on this page.
How much are SP Authentic cards worth by sport?
Here's every recorded SP Authentic sale since July 1, split by the sport of the player in the title. Raw and graded are counted together.
| Sport | Sales | Share of sales | Median sale | Sales dollars | Share of dollars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hockey | 6,502 | 61.7% | $7.99 | about $369,500 | 18.4% |
| Basketball | 1,851 | 17.6% | $10.51 | about $670,200 | 33.3% |
| Football | 1,281 | 12.2% | $7.99 | about $755,000 | 37.6% |
| Baseball | 433 | 4.1% | $3.61 | about $36,900 | 1.8% |
| Golf | 328 | 3.1% | $6.29 | about $162,900 | 8.1% |
| Soccer, racing and unplaced | 136 | 1.3% | about $8 | about $15,600 | 0.8% |
Look at football. Twelve percent of the sales and the biggest slice of the money, and it's mostly one card. The ten biggest sales in the whole window added up to about 52% of every SP Authentic dollar, and the single biggest was 15% by itself. That's not a market so much as a few auctions with a lot of small sales around them.
Grading follows the same shape. Only 1,287 of the 10,531 sales named a grading company, about one in eight, but they carried roughly 85% of the dollars.
Why is SP Authentic a hockey set now?
Licences. Upper Deck's own history on its Wikipedia entry notes that MLB gave Topps exclusive card rights on , and that Upper Deck said on it would no longer be licensed for NFL cards. Our catalog lines up with that. We hold 48,675 SP Authentic cards and the baseball rows stop at 2009. Football and basketball run to 2014, though I'd guess the late years are college and retired-player issues, since the league logos were gone by then. Hockey is 26,660 of those rows and runs straight through 2025-26.
So for a collector today, the old sports are a closed set of cards that will never get bigger, and hockey is the live product that gets a new class every summer. The hockey sales split by era make that plain.
| Hockey era | Sales | Median sale | Sales dollars |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1997-98 to 2004-05 | 136 | $6.10 | about $6,600 |
| 2005-06 to 2014-15 | 491 | $7.00 | about $59,700 |
| 2015-16 to 2022-23 | 1,314 | $7.00 | about $82,700 |
| 2023-24 to 2025-26 | 4,408 | $8.16 | about $215,300 |
| No year in the title | 147 | n/a | about $5,000 |
About two thirds of the hockey sales are the last three seasons, and most of those are 2025-26 cards that hit the market this summer.
What does a 2025-26 SP Authentic Future Watch auto sell for?
Quick product notes first. Cardboard Connection's set review gives a release date of , 10 packs of nine cards per hobby box, two autographs per box on average, and a box price in the $250 to $300 range. The regular Future Watch rookie autograph is numbered to 999, the horizontal version comes numbered to 599 or 199, and the Future Watch auto patch is numbered to 100. Limited Red parallels fall about one in two packs.
Here's how those cards have actually sold, raw only, since the set landed.
| Card type | Raw sales | Median raw | Total spent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Future Watch auto, vertical /999 | 488 | $28.09 | about $41,300 |
| Future Watch auto, horizontal /599 | 179 | $13.27 | about $5,100 |
| Future Watch auto, horizontal /199 | 14 | $38.85 | about $2,000 |
| Future Watch auto patch /100 | 44 | $65.51 | about $12,400 |
| Sign of the Times autographs | 352 | $11.71 | about $7,600 |
| Pageantry | 426 | $5.00 | about $8,200 |
| Spectrum FX | 235 | $4.00 | about $1,800 |
| Limited Red Future Watch | 177 | $2.00 | about $730 |
| Outliers | 148 | $3.78 | about $740 |
| Collaborations | 90 | $3.57 | about $580 |
| Freshman Focus | 73 | $2.26 | about $260 |
The /999 auto is the engine. It's the most-sold card type in the set and roughly a third of the season's dollars on its own. It's also very top-heavy. Of the 488 raw sales, 109 went for $100 or more and 117 went for under $10, so the $28 median is sitting between two pretty different cards: a good rookie and everybody else.
Is the horizontal Future Watch /599 worth more than the /999?
No, and this one surprised me. You'd think the scarcer card sells higher. The horizontal autograph is numbered to 599, the regular vertical one to 999, so there are about 40% fewer of the horizontal. But the raw medians run the other way, $13 for the /599 against $28 for the /999.
A plain median can mislead here if the horizontal cards just happen to be weaker names, so we matched them. We found 45 rookies who sold raw in both versions during the window, 418 sales between them. The vertical /999 outsold the horizontal /599 for 39 of the 45, and the typical gap was about 1.6 times.
| Rookie | Vertical /999 median | Horizontal /599 median | Sales, both versions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | $218.59 | $165.00 | 48 |
| Easton Cowan | $130.93 | $82.66 | 14 |
| Igor Chernyshov | $151.66 | $89.87 | 7 |
| Braeden Cootes | $82.18 | $45.00 | 15 |
| Matvei Gridin | $67.04 | $28.88 | 11 |
| Sam Dickinson | $66.92 | $33.00 | 11 |
| Danila Yurov | $35.25 | $20.33 | 22 |
My best guess at why is plain old habit. The vertical Future Watch is the card collectors have chased since the 2000s, it's what people search for, and it's the one that lines up with every older class in a binder. The horizontal is new enough that a lot of buyers treat it as the second card. That could change once graded copies start showing up, and it's a three-month read on one class, so I wouldn't bet a box on it. For now, if you pull both of the same rookie, the /999 is the one that's been selling higher.
The /199 horizontal doesn't follow that pattern. Fourteen sales at about $39, and an Ivan Demidov /199 sold for about $700. Scarce enough there that the numbering seems to matter again.
Which Future Watch rookies carry the money?
Every class has one or two names that soak up most of the Future Watch autograph dollars. This table shows the leader of each recent class, by total recorded sales of that player's Future Watch auto in the window, graded and raw together.
| Class | Top name | Next names | Notable recorded sale |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-06 | Alexander Ovechkin | Henrik Lundqvist, Duncan Keith | Ovechkin /999 PSA 10, about $13,100 |
| 2013-14 | Nathan MacKinnon | Aleksander Barkov, Jonathan Huberdeau | MacKinnon about $7,600 across his sales |
| 2015-16 | Connor McDavid | Mikko Rantanen, Dylan Larkin | McDavid /999 BGS 9.5, about $9,580 |
| 2016-17 | Mitch Marner | William Nylander, Sebastian Aho | Auston Matthews /999 PSA 10, about $4,600 |
| 2023-24 | Connor Bedard | Matthew Knies, Leo Carlsson | Bedard raw near $2,300 on three sales |
| 2024-25 | Will Smith | Macklin Celebrini, Cutter Gauthier | Celebrini auto patch /100 CGC 10, $18,300 |
| 2025-26 | Jacob Fowler | Matthew Schaefer, Ivan Demidov | Schaefer /999 PSA 10, about $4,600 |
The 2025-26 class is worth a closer look because it's the one people are buying right now. Fowler, a goalie, leads on volume, about $15,500 across his Future Watch autos. Schaefer is the expensive one per card. Six raw /999 copies sold near $1,160 and his auto patch versions went for about $4,770 (the /100) and $5,180 (the /25). Demidov's raw Future Watch autos sat around $825. Past the top dozen names, though, most of this class is a $10 to $30 card.
Celebrini is a good reminder of how the tiers stack. His 2024-25 Future Watch auto patch numbered to 100 sold for $18,300 in a CGC 10 at Fanatics Collect on , and a /999 in PSA 9 got about $5,380. For a different Upper Deck tier with the same rookies, our Upper Deck The Cup hockey breakdown prices the signed and unsigned lines in a $3,000 tin.
What are the old SP Authentic rookies worth?
The big money sits with the old rookies. A small group of cards from 1998 to 2005 did most of the non-hockey dollars in the window.
| Card | Print run | Recorded sales in window |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 Tom Brady #118 rookie | /1250 | PSA 10 $120,000; BGS 10 $102,000; PSA 9 $16,600 to $19,000; BGS 9 about $15,000 |
| 2003-04 LeBron James #148 rookie autograph | Not given in the titles | PSA 8 about $20,130 at Heritage; Limited /50 in BGS 9.5 $93,000 |
| 2001 Tiger Woods #45 rookie autograph | /900 | BGS 9.5 $17,400 and $18,500; PSA 10 about $20,130; Gold /100 BGS 9.5 $79,300 at Goldin |
| 1998 Peyton Manning #14 rookie | /2000 | PSA 10 about $12,820 |
| 2001 Albert Pujols #126 rookie | /1250 | BGS 10 $6,000; PSA 10 about $4,550 |
| 1998-99 Michael Jordan, plain cards | Not numbered | Raw about $10 on 170; PSA 9 about $88 on 22; PSA 10 about $611 on 15 |
The Brady is the card. Nine sales of the regular #118 rookie came to about $343,000, and a PSA 10 copy carrying a Brady signature authenticated by PSA/DNA, sold out of the TB12 Collection, went for $300,000 on Fanatics Collect on . That one sale is 15% of every SP Authentic dollar we recorded. Our Tom Brady rookie card guide puts the #118 next to his other 2000 rookies if you want the whole lineup, and his SPx card 130, numbered to 1,350, is priced by grade on our Upper Deck SPx card values page.
The multi-player autographs are the other big bucket. A 2007 Sign of the Times card signed by Jordan, Kobe and LeBron, numbered to 10, sold for $97,500 in BGS 8.5, and a 2001 triple of Jordan, Magic and Kobe got $78,000. A 2004 dual of LeBron and Kobe numbered to 25 went for $69,000. Those are one-off cards and I wouldn't read a trend into any of them, but they show where the ceiling is.
The Jordan row is the opposite end, and it's the one most people actually own. The plain 1998-99 SP Authentic Jordan cards sold 170 times raw at about $10. A PSA 10 runs roughly 60 times that, a PSA 9 about eight times. Baseball is the weak sport overall, a $3.61 median on 433 sales, and outside Pujols and the odd Griffey there isn't much there.
Is a 2025-26 SP Authentic hobby box worth it?
On medians, no. With boxes at $250 to $300, you're paying for two autographs and a lot of base. Put the medians on a typical box: one vertical Future Watch auto at about $28, a second autograph that's most often a Sign of the Times or similar at about $12, and around five Limited Reds at about $2 each. That's somewhere near $50 of resale, before fees, against a box that cost five or six times that.
The box only pays when the Future Watch auto is a top name. About 22% of raw /999 sales cleared $100, and the very top of the class, a Schaefer or a Demidov, covers several boxes on its own. That's the honest pitch for SP Authentic hockey: it's a lottery ticket on the rookie class with a pretty low floor. If you want a cheaper Upper Deck hockey box to compare it with, the Upper Deck Black Diamond hub has the one-pack version, and our hockey prospect cards guide walks through where Future Watch sits next to Young Guns.
Should you grade an SP Authentic card?
For the vintage rookies, if the card is clean, almost always. The Brady #118 went from about $17,000 to $19,000 in a PSA 9 to $120,000 in a PSA 10, and even the Jordan base cards jump from about $10 raw to the high hundreds in a 10. Those are fees you get back many times over.
For a 2025-26 Future Watch auto, it depends on the name. Grading a $28 card doesn't make sense. Schaefer's /999 went from about $1,160 raw to $4,600 in a PSA 10, so for the top few rookies a clean copy is worth sending. Only a handful of 2025-26 cards have sold graded yet, which tells you most people are still selling them raw straight out of the box.
What we couldn't measure
A few gaps worth owning. Sport is read from the player named in each title against our catalog, plus team and league words, and 136 sales sit in a small mixed bucket. Hockey seasons are read from the first year in the title, so a "2025" title counts as 2025-26, which is right almost every time but not always. Print runs come from the numbering in the title, and a seller who leaves it out drops that sale from the print-run rows, so those rows are smaller than the full card counts. We had no recorded sealed box sales to set a box value against, so the box section uses single-card medians only. And three months is short for cards as rare as a Brady PSA 10 or a Jordan, Kobe and LeBron triple.
Frequently asked questions
How much are SP Authentic cards worth?
Most sell for under $10. The median across 10,531 recorded sales from July 1 to October 9, 2026 was about $8. The top sales were 2000 Tom Brady rookies, led by a PSA 10 at $120,000 and a signed PSA 10 at $300,000 on Fanatics Collect.
How much is a 2025-26 SP Authentic Future Watch auto worth?
The regular vertical Future Watch autograph numbered to 999 sold for a median near $28 raw on 488 recorded sales. About one in five cleared $100. Matthew Schaefer copies sold near $1,160 raw and Jacob Fowler near $220.
Is the SP Authentic horizontal Future Watch /599 worth more than the /999?
No, not so far. On 45 rookies that sold in both versions, the vertical /999 outsold the horizontal /599 for 39 of them, by a median of about 1.6 times. The horizontal /599 median was about $13 on 179 sales.
What is the most valuable SP Authentic card?
The 2000 SP Authentic Tom Brady rookie, card 118, numbered to 1,250. A PSA 10 sold for $120,000 and a BGS 10 for $102,000 in 2026. A PSA 10 copy carrying a Brady signature authenticated by PSA/DNA sold for $300,000 on September 25, 2026.
When did 2025-26 SP Authentic Hockey come out?
June 24, 2026, according to Cardboard Connection's set review. Each hobby box holds 10 packs of nine cards with two autographs on average, and the review put boxes at about $250 to $300.
Does Upper Deck still make SP Authentic football and basketball?
Not with league logos. Upper Deck lost its NFL licence in 2010 and MLB went exclusive to Topps in 2009. Our catalog has SP Authentic football and basketball through 2014 and baseball through 2009, while hockey runs through 2025-26.
How we counted
Sales are recorded sold listings from July 1 to October 9, 2026 whose title includes SP Authentic. SPx and SP Game Used are separate products and don't match that name. Lots, boxes, packs, breaks and pick-your-card listings were removed, and duplicates were collapsed on title, price and date. Graded means the title names a grading company. Prices are what cards sold for, before fees.